Saturday, March 31, 2007

Cutting Edge Analysis


RESTORE SANITY: Congratulating Somali President-elect Abdullahi Mohamed 'Farmajo', George Gopal hopes he will “help restore sanity to that failed state with a lot of potential”. Somalis, he adds, have during the years of civil war forged international networks with both good and bad intentions. “But Somalia has gems of unexplored oil and other resources to help turn it into a prosperous country.” He hopes President Uhuru Kenyatta and other leaders will aid the rebirth of the Somali nation for regional stability. His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

WASTE OF TIME: The construction of a wall along the Kenya-Somalia border to prevent infiltration by Al-Shabaab would be “an exercise in futility”, George Gopal remarks, saying that there are already many members of the terror group on the Kenyan side today wreaking havoc in various places. George is not convinced the government has the capacity to man a 600-km-long wall and keep out the militants considering the challenges being experienced in maintaining infrastructure such as roads and sewer systems. His email address is georgegop@yahoo.com.

NSE LOGO. At 60 years, the Nairobi Securities Exchange is marking a milestone in a long “transformational journey”, remarks George Gopal, who is, however, not impressed with the decision to rebrand and come up with a new logo. “The old one made more sense to me as it uniquely portrayed the fluctuation of prices on the region’s largest bourse. As a small-scale investor, I am disappointed because the new logo resembles that of a transport company that I saw recently.” His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

STAGGER WORKING HOURS. This may not be a brand new idea, but George Gopal is convinced it is the way to deal the traffic jams choking Nairobi, especially the city centre during peak hours.The new leaders, he proposes, should consider incentives to encourage big employers, large businesses and the civil service to stagger working hours so that staff arrive at work at different times.“This idea will not only reduce traffic jams, but will also ensure longer hours for effective service delivery and gradual realisation of a 24-hour working economy.”
His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.
Have a possible day, won’t you!

BREAKING THE TIE: With the tight race in Monday’s elections clearly pointing to a possible run-off between Cord’s Raila Odinga and Jubilee’s Uhuru Kenyatta, George Gopal says it’s not too late for the other candidates to help save the country the colossal sum of money likely to be spent on the repeat presidential poll.
Musalia Mudavadi, Peter Kenneth, Martha Karua and James ole Kiyiapi, he pleads, should consider quitting the race and joining any of the top two. George’s contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

NOTION IMPRACTICAL. The suggestion by Daniel Njaga that the Salaries and Remuneration Commission should peg the public service salaries to the country’s economic growth rate may not be practical, remarks George Gopal, adding:
“For one, the sources of error in economic forecasts are many, and some lie outside the realm of economic analysis. Economic growth rates figures are also as easily manipulated, as they are interpreted differently.”
His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

POLLSTERS WANT CASH. Accusing pollsters of obsession with politics instead of focusing on other crucial issues is rather unfair, remarks George Gopal, adding that the criticism should instead be directed to the right place.
Says he: “I think it’s the Kenyans themselves who are too obsessed with politics. The pollsters are just in business and what they do is to respond to the forces of demand to conduct political opinion polls. Even in the newspapers, it is the political headlines that sell more.”

MEDIA ENDORSEMENTS: For his part, George Gopal says it’s quite possible for the Kenyan media to endorse presidential candidates in the next General Election.
He adds: “Our papers have come of age and are capable of taking independent stands, especially after the televised presidential debates. The candidates will have been put to the test to spell out their policies and agenda for the country. The media definitely influence us, and we should trust their editorial judgment and endorsements and we will have the means to verify everything through them.”
His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

WHAT ABOUT DISABLED? As the National Police Service Commission prepares for the process of recruiting the first Inspector-General, George Gopal is full of expectations. For once, the holder of this top position need not necessarily be from the Police Force. However, one key aspect – physical ability – has not clearly come out in the advertisement for the job. Can the Commission clarify whether persons with disabilities are eligible for the job? he asks.
His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

THEY ARE NOT JOKERS. While he agrees with George Gopal that jokers should be weeded out before the televised presidential debates coming soon, James Karani is not impressed with his suggestion on how this should be done. “His idea is a joke in itself. He says that one must command 15 per cent in a national opinion poll to qualify. This is not tenable. In a field of more than 10 candidates, if each candidate is rated fairly, none would attain the 15 per cent. And opinion polls are not necessarily a representation of reality.”

WEED OUT JOKERS. With the televised debates for presidential candidates soon becoming a reality, George Gopal hopes the jokers will be weeded out so that only those who have substance can take part to make this meaningful. In the end, he hopes, the list will be narrowed down to only three to engage in the final contest on live TV. “One must command at least 15 cent in a national opinion poll to qualify for that stage,” says George, whose contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.
Have a solid day, won’t you!

ENTERPRISING COOKS: Claims that the fake mobile phones switched off recently are being revived is worrying, indeed, but worse, rather embarrassing to the authorities, says George Gopal, citing the investment in resources and efforts. “But even as these enterprising crooks have beaten the CCK at its own game, they need not be reprimanded. To ensure water-tight systems, maybe the CCK and the mobile phone companies should consider employing some of these top-notch crooks in downtown Nairobi to secure their systems.” His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

SELFISH AND MYOPIC. The MPs’ passing of the “party-hopping Bill that now allows them to sit pretty and defect in time before the next General Election”, is not only selfish, but also myopic, says George Gopal. He is not impressed by the argument that they should be allowed to switch parties just because there is no democracy in political parties. “We are in a multiparty democracy with the freedom to form new parties and the law was actually meant to instil discipline,” argues George.

LET THEM ALSO DEBATE. As the whole world keenly follows the several scheduled televised debates between President Obama and Republican challenger Mitt Romney, George Gopal says, it will help voters to make up their minds, and Kenyans should consider adopting the procedure.
“We wish to take on our own candidates on the myriad of issues affecting our country, if only they could also debate,” adds George. “We must not let politicians get away with lies and empty rhetoric again.”

STATE SECURITY. The Police Force is not in any kind of quandary over the implementation of the new Constitution, as alleged by Wamahiu Muya, says George Gopal.
According to George, under the provisions of the new supreme law of the land, the police and other security organs will now be able to move more swiftly to quell ethnic violence, and fight terrorism and organised crime.
“The police and the intelligence will become more proactive to avert crimes,” he concludes. His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

A WASTE OF FUNDS. The plan to hold by-elections in Kangema, Ndhiwa and Kajiado North at a time when the next General Election is only a few months away is a waste of funds, says George Gopal.“In as much as the constituents deserve new representatives following the deaths of John Michuki, Orwa Ojodeh and George Saitoti, the campaigns for those seats could cause a lot of anxiety.”
It would have been better if the law had been amended to have the parties that held those seats nominate interim MPs.
Have a sensible day, won’t you!

PEDESTRIANS SHUN THEM. The City Council of Nairobi and other authorities may not be so keen on putting up footbridges because the existing ones are hardly ever used by the pedestrians for whom they are intended, says George Gopal.
“Today, most of the footbridges have become abodes for street families and goons. Before thinking of putting up new ones, we should improve the ones we have and educate the public to use them, and finally slap heavy penalties on those who prefer to cross the road.” His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com.

MPS CAN LEAD ELSEWHERE. What makes the MPs, especially the ones who do not possess university degrees, think that they can only serve fellow Kenyans by being in the National Assembly?” asks George Gopal.
According to George, there are many other areas in which these 80 or so politicians could exercise their leadership abilities. He is convinced that it would not be beneath them to step back and serve in the many county assemblies that will be set up after the next elections. His contact is georgegop@yahoo.com

Those behind the “ugly lion sculptures” scattered all over Nairobi, ostensibly to raise awareness about the endangered animal species, have got it all wrong, says George Gopal. “It’s a classic example of putting the cart before the horse. The organisers could have created awareness about conservation of the natural habitat to protect not only the lions but also other wild animals. ”
Have a natural day, won’t you!

The proposal that the Kenya National Examinations Council should post all previous national examination results on its web site so that prospective employers can verify them by entering the candidate’s identity card number is a good idea, but it may not be practical, says George Gopal. Since not all the students will have acquired IDs by the time they sit the KCSE exam, it may be an exercise in futility.”

While he finds the new public toilets in Nairobi’s city centre a pretty good idea, George Gopal does not like the unilateral manner in which such decisions are made. “City planners could do a better job by involving residents to get their real preferences. The one on Aga Khan Walk, for example, appears too archaic and out of place. It doesn’t quite fit into the modern setting of skyscrapers.” He says some remind him of Fort Jesus, that coastal monument built by the Portuguese in 1593.

The acute shortage of teachers of History, Kiswahili, and Religious Studies is a paradox, remarks George Gopal, adding that only a few years ago, high schools were teeming with arts teachers. He asks: “Is this is the price the country has to pay for poor planning by our institutions of higher learning or are students shunning arts subjects in pursuit of the sciences and business studies, with hopes of better employment prospects?”Have an artistic day, won’t you!

As others have pointed out, George Gopal is also shocked at the recent developments in Nairobi, which are sending confusing signals on the major highway development project.
Says he: “There was talk about replacing the numerous roundabouts with flyovers. However, the same roundabouts are now being revamped.
I wonder why they should be repaired if they will soon be replaced with flyovers. Or are the flyovers a long term idea?”
Have a well-planned day, won’t you!

The special VIP lanes Nairobi Metropolitan Development minister Mutula Kilonzo intends to create may not be such a bad thing after all, says George Gopal. He adds: “I want to believe they will also be open for emergency use, especially by ambulances, police, the fire brigade and even commuter buses. In big cities such as Lagos, special lanes do exist, and help to ease traffic jams. It’s better to have them than to be shoved off the road to give way to VIPs.”

For George Gopal, the answer lies in the assertion by his maths professor that besides performing calculations, students are trained to think straight and logically.
“Since writing is one area that requires a lot of ingenuity and logical thinking, mathematicians or physicists will most certainly find it fascinating playing around with words and semantics, just as they have been taught to work around proofs, theorems and figures.
And because writing can be so addictive and dynamic, they virtually end up abandoning their world of maths and physics to venture into writing.”

The owners of the buses plying the Nairobi-Mombasa highway must be obsessed with leadership, notes George Gopal. Coast Bus Service started the rush with the slogan, ‘We Lead, Others  Follow’.
Mash Bus Company took it a step further, declaring, ‘We Lead the Leader’. And the newest kid on the block, Modern Coast, has unleashed the slogan, ‘The Ultimate Leader’.
He poses: “So, who is the real leader in this tussle on the road?”
Have a leading day, won’t you

With the water hyacinth choking Lake Victoria, it may not be the best thing to name American President-elect Barack Obama after it in recognition of his historic victory, says George Gopal. “The weed has taken a heavy toll on fishing and transportation. Also, Kenyan fishermen may not take much pride in it if associated with Obama, as they are always being harassed and arrested by Ugandan and Tanzanian authorities.”
Have a fitting day, won’t you!

The idea of having civil servants work on Saturday is workable, says George Gopal, adding: “All that is required is a proper system for motivation, recognition and reward for the good work done. And with the increasing demand for quick and efficient public services, who knows, maybe this could just be a step forward in embracing the 24-hour economy.”
Have a rewarding day, won’t you!

Why build footbridges at strategic places in Nairobi’s city centre as suggested by Benson Karuri, when the majority of pedestrians will not use them? poses George Gopal. He doesn’t think building footbridges is the solution. “It seems Nairobians are always in a hurry and prefer shortcuts oblivious of the looming danger from motorists.”

The significance of Finance minister Amos Kimunya’s laudable move to boost environmental conservation by imposing a hefty 120 per cent excise duty on polythene bags and banning the flimsy ones altogether was somewhat diminished by failure to offer an alternative, says George Gopal. The minister, he adds, should have popularised eco-friendly packaging materials. “He failed to offer incentives to promote the use of paper, sisal, cotton twine, jute bags and even the water hyacinth as packaging materials.”

There is nothing hilarious about a police officer frantically controlling traffic at a roundabout says George Gopal. “They are there to avert the danger posed by motorists, who in a mad rush, jump the lights.” George says that if all the road users were disciplined, then what Kariithi eloquently described as “this wasteful duplication of efforts” would never occur, in the first place. “Must we always be policed around to obey even plain rules for our own safety, such as stopping when the traffic lights are red?” he asks.

Forcing people to do certain things, even if they are as important as voting in national elections, smacks of dictatorship, which we do not need, remarks Njuhigu wa Mbugua. Unlike George Gopal, who believes that voting should be made mandatory, Njuhigu says: “Voter education is the key to having huge turnouts. But why should Kenyans bother to turn out and vote for the same old crop of corrupt, under-achieving politicians, most of whom we only see during the election year?”

George Gopal’s proposal that voting be made compulsory has left a bitter taste in Joachim Omondi’s mouth just because he would very likely be liable for a penalty and for no fault of his own. He says that in 2004, he was mugged and his voter’s card for Lugari constituency lost. Since then, and after several visits to the Electoral Commission headquarters in Anniversary Towers, Nairobi, he has failed to get a replacement. He adds: “It’s for this reason that I totally disagree with Gopal’s view.” His email is  boolaki@yahoo.com.

While welcoming the belated honouring of freedom hero Dedan Kimathi with a statue in Nairobi on the street named after him, George Gopal has some misgivings. Says he: “I wish to fault the designers for having overlooked some key factors. As it stands now, the imposing statue looks too artificial and I highly doubt if it will withstand the lure of vandals.”
Have a solid day, won’t you!

The suggestion by Mohandas to introduce passenger trains as a substitute to the congestion-prone Thika Road is a good idea, says George Gopal, but it will only work if the trains are fast, efficient and reliable. George remembers being a student at Kenyatta University some years ago when there was such a train, and it took one and a half hours to get from KU to Nairobi Railway Station. 

Innovative technology to replace manual plucking may not be a bad idea after all. 
Even as there is fear of loss of some 80,000 plantation jobs, there is also great potential of creating up to 100,000 jobs or more, with time, including other forward and backward linkages resulting from such machines. 
Of course, the immediate and obvious opportunities will benefit the dealers, service people, mechanics, machine operators, loaders and sales people. 
GEORGE GOPAL, 
Nairobi. 

The Nairobi City Council is no doubt doing a splendid job revamping and sprucing up the city centre, but they are also messing up some well-known street names, says George Gopal. "At the junction of Muindi Mbingu and Mokhtar Dadah streets, for instance, there is a signpost proclaiming Moktar Dadar and Morktar Dadah street! Just incase whoever wrote it wasn’t too sure, Mokhtar Ould Dadah was the first President of the Republic of Mauritania."

The launching of the all-important Parliament website is long overdue says George Gopal who believes such an enterprise should not be held to ransom because some 40 errant MPs have not submitted their CVs. George suggests that Bunge should just publish whatever is available. Says he with a hint a of sarcasm: "After all, we have seen that even some of the MPs in the august House with impressive CVs still perform far below par."

The city council should have taken advantage of the long dry spell experienced recently to fix the poor drainage system, says George Gopal. "Even before the rains proper have begun pounding the city, many streets in the city centre are already getting flooded," he adds. "Are they waiting for floods to sweep away the residents before they fix the drains?"
Have a proactive day, won't you!
There is a historical explanation to John Musembi’s query as to why you mostly find Kamba people trading in second hand tyres in most towns, says George Gopal. "This trade can be traced back to the times of people like Chief Kivoi of Kitui, who were well known for long distance trade in assorted goods across the towns. During such long and weary treks, shoes made out of old tyres came in handy, hence the tyre trade that many still carry out today."

Faulting the latest Steadman Group's opinion poll on the Kenyan presidency, George Gopal says: "A good opinion poll should be unbiased and comprehensive enough as to give interviewees a fair sample to choose from. How reliable then is this poll, especially having omitted other likely presidential contenders such as former Vice-President Musalia Mudavadi?"

Several months after the National Dress was launched with colour and pomp at a ceremony presided over by none other than Vice-President Moody Awori, not much has been heard about it? says George Gopal. "What impact has it made so far in the market, especially given the ceremony when it was unveiled? Where can someone get the attire, and at what price?" asks George, whose address is georgegop@yahoo.com 

George Gopal, who has just returned to the capital city after living in the slower coastal resort town of Mombasa for a while, remarks: "The streets of Nairobi are more risky and many Nairobians have a mix of arrogance and lack of courtesy. And, just like life in the jungle, the rule of survival of the fittest seems to take centre stage."

Wonders never cease, remarks George Gopal of Mombasa, on the Government's announcement of impending electricity price increases for consumers. He poses: "Has the water level in our power generating dams gone down overnight to warrant such a hasty adjustment of power tariffs! Why don't those concerned regularly monitor the water levels and anticipate any adjustments early enough?" 

Are the rising prices of key consumer commodities, including sugar, an indication of what to expect ahead of this year’s budget? wonders George Gopal of Mombasa. "Let's know so we can brace ourselves for even tougher economic times ahead?"
Have a stable day, won't you!

Here is a timely poser from George Gopal, writing from Mombasa. Says he: "If it is scientifically correct that clocks don’t really measure time, but instead, only measure durations between events as much as a measuring tape measures distance between places, what then is time and how precisely is it measured?"

From Mombasa, an observant George Gopal has noticed that along the Nairobi-Mombasa road, particularly on the sections between Sultan Hamud and Emali, a number of the recently built culverts are already clogged up with water and silt, and this is before the road is opened to motorists. How sure are we that the contractor is doing the right thing? he queries.

Writing from Mombasa, George Gopal is puzzled about what the Moi Foundation would do. During the launch, the patron, former President Moi said the foundation would not involve itself in politics. But since the majority African conflicts are as a result of politics, what peace will the foundation be working for? he queries. 
Have a non-political day, won't you!